Visiting Fellows Research Seminar: Regional Dominance Realism: The Case of Russia’s Neighborhood Policy / Elias Götz (NB: Tuesday)

The paper examines the evolution of Moscow’s policy towards the other former Soviet republics from 1992 to the present. Over the course of the last two and a half decades, Moscow has pursued confrontational policies towards some neighboring states, while it has adopted a more cooperative approach towards others. There are also significant changes over time. To account for these variations, I present a realist theory that sheds light on the neighborhood policies of major powers. In brief, my argument is that major powers face strong system-level incentives to pursue regional primacy – that is, to establish some control over the foreign-policy orientation of neighboring small states. Towards that end, they employ different tools and tactics, depending on the level of external pressure. Yet, the ability of major powers to act upon system-level incentives and external pressures also depends on a sufficient level of state capacity. My analysis demonstrates that the interplay of these three factors – system-level incentives, external pressures, and state capacity – goes a long way to explain the overall pattern and development of Russia’s neighborhood policy over the last 25 years.

Dr. Elias Götz will present his work at the Aleksanteri Institute Visiting Fellows Research Seminar on Tuesday 18 June, 2019 at 14:15 in the Aleksanteri Institute 2nd floor meeting room, Unioninkatu 33, Helsinki). The event is chaired by Professor Katri Pynnöniemi.

The seminars take place on Thursdays from 14:15 to 15:45 at the Aleksanteri Institute 2nd floor meeting room, Unioninkatu 33, Helsinki. Please check the programme updates for possible changes. NB: Some of the spring term 2019 sessions will take place on Tuesday.

Aleksanteri Institute Visiting Fellows Research Seminar Series (link).

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